LRC Spring and Summer Outlook

It was a pretty tame winter for most of us this year with snowfall well below normal.   Drought conditions continue to plague the western part of ND:

drought

Courtesy UNL

As we take a look into spring/summer, there is some good news on the horizon in regards to rainfall, however, parts of western ND will still remain in drought conditions through summer.

Here is a breakdown month by month.  Let’s start with May:

rainfall

precip
Courtesy: weather2020

The western part of the state as a whole will only see about 75% of normal rainfall during the month while the eastern half should be pretty close to normal.  The bar graph above is for the F/M area indicating when our best chance for storms are.  Notice the  big “spike” in precip the first few days in May as a WET storm system is expected across the area.  There is another storm, albeit weaker around 14th/15th and another one around the 22nd.   Total rainfall for the F/M area for May expected to be around 2.5″

 

Let’s take a look at June:

precip

Notice the “dry pocket” west of Bismarck.  This is NOT good news for the drought conditions.

Here is a look at the F/M area for June:

precip
Courtesy: weather2020

There are a few storm systems during the month of June. One right around Ribfest  4-7th then a larger storm with severe potential 11th-13th and another weaker storm around the 22nd-24th.

Here’s a peek into July:

precip

It still remains below ave in regards to rainfall in the west but not as bad as June

Here’s a look at July for the F/M area:

precip
Courtesy weather 2020

July should start out rather quiet.  A weak system early July and another one around the 12th/13th.  A larger storm with a severe threat moves in from 15th-17th and a WET system from the 22nd-24th.

Here’s a look at August:

precip

A wetter look across much of the state!!  This month should help some of the dry conditions out west.

Here’s a look at the F/M area for August:

rainfall
courtesy weather 2020

August looks like a wet start and end to the month.  Storm rolling in on the 3rd-5th has severe potential.  WeFest looks dry!!  A few “weaker” storms 11-13th and 21-23rd with another WET system around the 25th through the 28th.

All in all for the eastern 1/3rd of ND into MN we should have ample moisture for the spring/summer with drier conditions out west.  Temps across the entire area are expected to be at or above normal this spring/summer.   This is a look at precip totals from May through August:

rain

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